Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.212250 2.557833 2.937450 3.385095 3.898253 4.467854 5.147826
2025-03-16 1.690512 2.132843 2.660168 3.334069 4.171369 5.176456 6.473637
2025-03-23 1.444379 1.965691 2.632748 3.546328 4.762408 6.322766 8.474213
2025-03-30 1.231590 1.793867 2.560309 3.676724 5.256335 7.405743 10.546497
2025-04-06 1.035937 1.605242 2.427177 3.693142 5.585689 8.300339 12.478493
2025-04-13 0.834602 1.370083 2.185617 3.508384 5.588866 8.721274 13.777403
2025-04-20 0.743442 1.285561 2.151816 3.623478 6.045488 9.852731 16.263125
2025-04-27 0.681943 1.237150 2.164400 3.808113 6.627807 11.237859 19.303821
2025-05-04 0.613123 1.164056 2.123456 3.893798 7.051541 12.408185 22.123368
2025-05-11 0.548085 1.086553 2.062181 3.932147 7.392653 13.470093 24.870825
2025-05-18 0.473633 0.979309 1.931499 3.824951 7.455790 14.049145 26.825649
2025-05-25 0.404453 0.871040 1.782938 3.661747 7.389834 14.380331 28.353743
2025-06-01 0.363579 0.815234 1.730998 3.684910 7.694571 15.453160 31.440635
2025-06-08 0.316737 0.739421 1.628461 3.592549 7.759918 16.078743 33.743757
2025-06-15 0.302392 0.732274 1.667029 3.798204 8.458437 18.025726 38.898397
2025-06-22 0.282548 0.709423 1.668569 3.924181 9.004570 19.724867 43.739223
2025-06-29 0.256264 0.667093 1.620838 3.933957 9.299051 20.932276 47.681397
2025-07-06 0.219428 0.592841 1.489311 3.733349 9.096879 21.054191 49.290436
2025-07-13 0.206648 0.577144 1.493602 3.853045 9.644634 22.877555 54.870140
2025-07-20 0.199007 0.573616 1.526914 4.047432 10.392224 25.229433 61.905234
2025-07-27 0.186420 0.554675 1.518917 4.137415 10.897255 27.076035 67.963637
2025-08-03 0.172638 0.530112 1.492932 4.177557 11.282799 28.681246 73.619554
2025-08-10 0.153656 0.487376 1.412689 4.063614 11.260789 29.300732 76.943567